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Match predictions

Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax Prediction

Eredivisie · Sat, Oct 4 - 17:30

Eredivisie logo Eredivisie Lost
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam logo
3-3
Ajax logo Ajax
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 8 Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel
125%Home X29%Draw 246%Away
Match Centre Confidence 46%
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Match forecast

Ajax to Win

Lost
Predicted score 0-3 Confidence: Low · 46% ★★☆☆☆
Sparta Rotterdam Win25%
Draw29%
Ajax Win46%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 6 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 45% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 0-3 Exact score prediction Actual: 3-3 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 46% Final score: 3-3
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Sparta Rotterdam formL L D L L1 points from last five
Ajax formD W D L D6 points from last five
Home/Away strength40% / 40%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile0.90 - 1.60Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Sparta Rotterdam have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Ajax have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Sparta Rotterdam a 40% home win trend and Ajax a 40% away win trend. Sparta Rotterdam average 0.90 goals scored and 2.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Ajax at 1.60 scored and 0.70 conceded. Sparta Rotterdam 0 wins, Ajax 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 25% home, 29% draw and 46% away, making Ajax to Win the preferred tip at 46% confidence.

Sparta Rotterdam 0 wins, Ajax 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 3-3 · Outcome: Draw

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