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Match predictions

Heerenveen vs Excelsior Prediction

Eredivisie · Sat, Oct 4 - 22:00

Eredivisie logo Eredivisie Won
Heerenveen Heerenveen logo
2-1
Excelsior logo Excelsior
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 8 Abe Lenstra Stadion
142%Home X23%Draw 235%Away
Match Centre Confidence 42%
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Match forecast

Heerenveen to Win

Won
Predicted score 3-2 Confidence: Low · 42% ★★☆☆☆
Heerenveen Win42%
Draw23%
Excelsior Win35%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 3 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 60% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 3-2 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 42% Final score: 2-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Heerenveen formL D L W W7 points from last five
Excelsior formW D W W D11 points from last five
Home/Away strength50% / 30%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.70 - 1.70Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Heerenveen have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Excelsior have won 3 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Heerenveen a 50% home win trend and Excelsior a 30% away win trend. Heerenveen average 1.70 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Excelsior at 1.70 scored and 1.50 conceded. Heerenveen 2 wins, Excelsior 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 42% home, 23% draw and 35% away, making Heerenveen to Win the preferred tip at 42% confidence.

Heerenveen 2 wins, Excelsior 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 2-1 · Outcome: Home Win

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