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Match predictions

AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar Prediction

Eredivisie · Sun, Oct 5 - 17:45

Eredivisie logo Eredivisie Won
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar logo
2-1
Telstar logo Telstar
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 8 AFAS Stadion
141%Home X24%Draw 235%Away
Match Centre Confidence 41%
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Match forecast

AZ Alkmaar to Win

Won
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 41% ★★☆☆☆
AZ Alkmaar Win41%
Draw24%
Telstar Win35%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 3 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 50% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 41% Final score: 2-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

AZ Alkmaar formD D D D D5 points from last five
Telstar formW W D W L10 points from last five
Home/Away strength60% / 30%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.70 - 2.10Average goals scored

Reason for tip

AZ Alkmaar have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Telstar have won 3 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives AZ Alkmaar a 60% home win trend and Telstar a 30% away win trend. AZ Alkmaar average 1.70 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Telstar at 2.10 scored and 1.40 conceded. AZ Alkmaar 2 wins, Telstar 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 41% home, 24% draw and 35% away, making AZ Alkmaar to Win the preferred tip at 41% confidence.

AZ Alkmaar 2 wins, Telstar 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 2-1 · Outcome: Home Win

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