Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction

Reason for tip

Ajax have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while AZ Alkmaar have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Ajax a 40% home win trend and AZ Alkmaar a 30% away win trend. Ajax average 1.60 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the recent sample, compared with AZ Alkmaar at 1.70 scored and 1.40 conceded. Ajax 0 wins, AZ Alkmaar 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 41% home, 27% draw and 32% away, making Ajax to Win the preferred tip at 41% confidence.