Excelsior vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction

Reason for tip

Excelsior have won 3 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Fortuna Sittard have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Excelsior a 20% home win trend and Fortuna Sittard a 30% away win trend. Excelsior average 1.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Fortuna Sittard at 1.30 scored and 2.00 conceded. Excelsior 1 wins, Fortuna Sittard 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 48% home, 26% draw and 26% away, making Excelsior to Win the preferred tip at 48% confidence.