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Match predictions

Ajax vs Heerenveen Prediction

Eredivisie · Sat, Nov 1 - 18:30

Eredivisie logo Eredivisie Lost
Ajax Ajax logo
1-1
Heerenveen logo Heerenveen
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 11 Kras Stadion
140%Home X26%Draw 235%Away
Match Centre Confidence 40%
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Match forecast

Ajax to Win

Lost
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 40% ★★☆☆☆
Ajax Win40%
Draw26%
Heerenveen Win35%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 64% probability Actual: 2 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score No 45% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 40% Final score: 1-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Ajax formD W D L D6 points from last five
Heerenveen formL D L W W7 points from last five
Home/Away strength40% / 40%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.60 - 1.70Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Ajax have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Heerenveen have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Ajax a 40% home win trend and Heerenveen a 40% away win trend. Ajax average 1.60 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Heerenveen at 1.70 scored and 1.30 conceded. Ajax 0 wins, Heerenveen 0 wins, 2 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 40% home, 26% draw and 35% away, making Ajax to Win the preferred tip at 40% confidence.

Ajax 0 wins, Heerenveen 0 wins, 2 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 1-1 · Outcome: Draw

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