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Match predictions

Utrecht vs Ajax Prediction

Eredivisie · Sun, Nov 9 - 14:15

Eredivisie logo Eredivisie Won
Utrecht Utrecht logo
2-1
Ajax logo Ajax
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 12 Stadion Galgenwaard
152%Home X19%Draw 229%Away
Match Centre Confidence 52%
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Match forecast

Utrecht to Win

Won
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 52% ★★★☆☆
Utrecht Win52%
Draw19%
Ajax Win29%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 77% probability Actual: 3 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 40% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 52% Final score: 2-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Utrecht formD W W W W13 points from last five
Ajax formD W D L D6 points from last five
Home/Away strength60% / 40%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile2.00 - 1.60Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Utrecht have won 4 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Ajax have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Utrecht a 60% home win trend and Ajax a 40% away win trend. Utrecht average 2.00 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Ajax at 1.60 scored and 0.70 conceded. Utrecht 2 wins, Ajax 0 wins, 1 draws in last 3 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 52% home, 19% draw and 29% away, making Utrecht to Win the preferred tip at 52% confidence.

Utrecht 2 wins, Ajax 0 wins, 1 draws in last 3 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 2-1 · Outcome: Home Win

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