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Match predictions

AZ Alkmaar vs PSV Eindhoven Prediction

Eredivisie · Sun, Nov 9 - 18:45

Eredivisie logo Eredivisie Won
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar logo
1-5
PSV Eindhoven logo PSV Eindhoven
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 12 AFAS Stadion
132%Home X19%Draw 249%Away
Match Centre Confidence 49%
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Match forecast

PSV Eindhoven to Win

Won
Predicted score 2-3 Confidence: Low · 49% ★★☆☆☆
AZ Alkmaar Win32%
Draw19%
PSV Eindhoven Win49%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 6 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 63% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 2-3 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-5 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 49% Final score: 1-5
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

AZ Alkmaar formD D D D D5 points from last five
PSV Eindhoven formW W D W W13 points from last five
Home/Away strength60% / 60%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.70 - 3.10Average goals scored

Reason for tip

AZ Alkmaar have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while PSV Eindhoven have won 4 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives AZ Alkmaar a 60% home win trend and PSV Eindhoven a 60% away win trend. AZ Alkmaar average 1.70 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the recent sample, compared with PSV Eindhoven at 3.10 scored and 1.60 conceded. AZ Alkmaar 0 wins, PSV Eindhoven 2 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 32% home, 19% draw and 49% away, making PSV Eindhoven to Win the preferred tip at 49% confidence.

AZ Alkmaar 0 wins, PSV Eindhoven 2 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 1-5 · Outcome: Away Win

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