Match predictions

Ajax vs Excelsior Prediction

Eredivisie · Sat, Nov 22 - 20:45

Eredivisie Won

Match Centre All Predictions

Ajax

1-2

Excelsior

FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 13 Kras Stadion

136%Home X24%Draw 240%Away

Match Centre Confidence 40%

Match forecast

Excelsior to Win

Won

Predicted score 2-3 Confidence: Low · 40% ★★☆☆☆

Ajax Win36%

Draw24%

Excelsior Win40%

Recommended markets

Data-driven betting predictions

Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.

Match Winner Excelsior to Win 40% model probability

Double Chance 12 76% model probability

Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 82% model probability

Both Teams To Score Yes 55% model probability

Correct Score 2-3 Model-derived tip

First Team To Score No clear edge Model-derived tip

Clean Sheet No strong clean sheet edge Model-derived tip

Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 3 goals · Won

Both Teams To Score Yes 55% probability Actual: Yes · Won

Correct Score 2-3 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-2 · Lost

Model Confidence Low 40% Final score: 1-2

Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Ajax formD W D L D6 points from last five

Excelsior formW D W W D11 points from last five

Home/Away strength40% / 30%Venue trend in available data

Goals profile1.60 - 1.70Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Ajax have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Excelsior have won 3 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Ajax a 40% home win trend and Excelsior a 30% away win trend. Ajax average 1.60 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Excelsior at 1.70 scored and 1.50 conceded. Ajax 0 wins, Excelsior 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 36% home, 24% draw and 40% away, making Excelsior to Win the preferred tip at 40% confidence.

Ajax 0 wins, Excelsior 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.

Result check

Won

Actual result: 1-2 · Outcome: Away Win

Ajax vs Excelsior Prediction

Excelsior to Win

Data-driven betting predictions

Why this prediction?

Reason for tip

Won

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