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Match predictions

Excelsior vs NAC Breda Prediction

Eredivisie · Sat, Nov 29 - 18:30

Eredivisie logo Eredivisie Won
Excelsior Excelsior logo
1-0
NAC Breda logo NAC Breda
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 14 Stadion Woudestein
155%Home X25%Draw 220%Away
Match Centre Confidence 55%
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Match forecast

Excelsior to Win

Won
Predicted score 2-1 Confidence: Medium · 55% ★★★☆☆
Excelsior Win55%
Draw25%
NAC Breda Win20%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 80% probability Actual: 1 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score Yes 55% probability Actual: No · Lost
Correct Score 2-1 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-0 · Lost
Model Confidence Medium 55% Final score: 1-0
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Excelsior formW D W W D11 points from last five
NAC Breda formD W L L D5 points from last five
Home/Away strength20% / 10%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.70 - 1.00Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Excelsior have won 3 of their last 5 recorded matches, while NAC Breda have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Excelsior a 20% home win trend and NAC Breda a 10% away win trend. Excelsior average 1.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the recent sample, compared with NAC Breda at 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Excelsior 2 wins, NAC Breda 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 55% home, 25% draw and 20% away, making Excelsior to Win the preferred tip at 55% confidence.

Excelsior 2 wins, NAC Breda 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 1-0 · Outcome: Home Win

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