Match predictions

NEC Nijmegen vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction

Eredivisie · Sat, Nov 29 - 23:00

Eredivisie Won

Match Centre All Predictions

NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen logo

3-1

Sparta Rotterdam

FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 14 Goffertstadion

153%Home X29%Draw 218%Away

Match Centre Confidence 53%

Match forecast

NEC Nijmegen to Win

Won

Predicted score 2-1 Confidence: Low · 53% ★★★☆☆

NEC Nijmegen Win53%

Draw29%

Sparta Rotterdam Win18%

Recommended markets

Data-driven betting predictions

Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.

Match Winner NEC Nijmegen to Win 53% model probability

Double Chance 1X 82% model probability

Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 82% model probability

Both Teams To Score Yes 65% model probability

Correct Score 2-1 Model-derived tip

First Team To Score NEC Nijmegen Model-derived tip

Clean Sheet No strong clean sheet edge Model-derived tip

Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 4 goals · Won

Both Teams To Score Yes 65% probability Actual: Yes · Won

Correct Score 2-1 Exact score prediction Actual: 3-1 · Lost

Model Confidence Low 53% Final score: 3-1

Form analysis

Why this prediction?

NEC Nijmegen formW L D D D6 points from last five

Sparta Rotterdam formL L D L L1 points from last five

Home/Away strength40% / 30%Venue trend in available data

Goals profile1.80 - 0.90Average goals scored

Reason for tip

NEC Nijmegen have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Sparta Rotterdam have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives NEC Nijmegen a 40% home win trend and Sparta Rotterdam a 30% away win trend. NEC Nijmegen average 1.80 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Sparta Rotterdam at 0.90 scored and 2.20 conceded. NEC Nijmegen 1 wins, Sparta Rotterdam 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 53% home, 29% draw and 18% away, making NEC Nijmegen to Win the preferred tip at 53% confidence.

NEC Nijmegen 1 wins, Sparta Rotterdam 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.

Result check

Won

Actual result: 3-1 · Outcome: Home Win

NEC Nijmegen vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction

NEC Nijmegen to Win

Data-driven betting predictions

Why this prediction?

Reason for tip

Won

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