Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction

Reason for tip

Fortuna Sittard have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while AZ Alkmaar have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Fortuna Sittard a 30% home win trend and AZ Alkmaar a 30% away win trend. Fortuna Sittard average 1.30 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the recent sample, compared with AZ Alkmaar at 1.70 scored and 1.40 conceded. Fortuna Sittard 1 wins, AZ Alkmaar 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 34% home, 31% draw and 35% away, making AZ Alkmaar to Win the preferred tip at 35% confidence.