Match predictions

PSV Eindhoven vs Excelsior Prediction

Eredivisie · Sat, Jan 10 - 22:00

Eredivisie Won

Match Centre All Predictions

PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven logo

5-1

Excelsior

FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 18 Philips Stadion

152%Home X17%Draw 230%Away

Match Centre Confidence 52%

Match forecast

PSV Eindhoven to Win

Won

Predicted score 3-2 Confidence: Low · 52% ★★★☆☆

PSV Eindhoven Win52%

Draw17%

Excelsior Win30%

Recommended markets

Data-driven betting predictions

Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.

Match Winner PSV Eindhoven to Win 52% model probability

Double Chance 12 83% model probability

Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 82% model probability

Both Teams To Score Yes 78% model probability

Correct Score 3-2 Model-derived tip

First Team To Score PSV Eindhoven Model-derived tip

Clean Sheet No strong clean sheet edge Model-derived tip

Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 6 goals · Won

Both Teams To Score Yes 78% probability Actual: Yes · Won

Correct Score 3-2 Exact score prediction Actual: 5-1 · Lost

Model Confidence Low 52% Final score: 5-1

Form analysis

Why this prediction?

PSV Eindhoven formW W D W W13 points from last five

Excelsior formW D W W D11 points from last five

Home/Away strength70% / 30%Venue trend in available data

Goals profile3.10 - 1.70Average goals scored

Reason for tip

PSV Eindhoven have won 4 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Excelsior have won 3 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives PSV Eindhoven a 70% home win trend and Excelsior a 30% away win trend. PSV Eindhoven average 3.10 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Excelsior at 1.70 scored and 1.50 conceded. PSV Eindhoven 2 wins, Excelsior 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 52% home, 17% draw and 30% away, making PSV Eindhoven to Win the preferred tip at 52% confidence.

PSV Eindhoven 2 wins, Excelsior 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.

Result check

Won

Actual result: 5-1 · Outcome: Home Win

PSV Eindhoven vs Excelsior Prediction

PSV Eindhoven to Win

Data-driven betting predictions

Why this prediction?

Reason for tip

Won

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