Match predictions

PEC Zwolle vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction

Eredivisie · Sat, Jan 17 - 20:45

Eredivisie Won

Match Centre All Predictions

PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle logo

3-1

AZ Alkmaar

FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 19 MAC³PARK Stadion

138%Home X30%Draw 232%Away

Match Centre Confidence 38%

Match forecast

PEC Zwolle to Win

Won

Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 38% ★★☆☆☆

PEC Zwolle Win38%

Draw30%

AZ Alkmaar Win32%

Recommended markets

Data-driven betting predictions

Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.

Match Winner PEC Zwolle to Win 38% model probability

Double Chance 12 70% model probability

Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 82% model probability

Both Teams To Score No 50% model probability

Correct Score 3-0 Model-derived tip

First Team To Score AZ Alkmaar Model-derived tip

Clean Sheet No strong clean sheet edge Model-derived tip

Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 4 goals · Won

Both Teams To Score No 50% probability Actual: Yes · Lost

Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 3-1 · Lost

Model Confidence Low 38% Final score: 3-1

Form analysis

Why this prediction?

PEC Zwolle formL L W L D4 points from last five

AZ Alkmaar formD D D D D5 points from last five

Home/Away strength50% / 30%Venue trend in available data

Goals profile1.00 - 1.70Average goals scored

Reason for tip

PEC Zwolle have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while AZ Alkmaar have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives PEC Zwolle a 50% home win trend and AZ Alkmaar a 30% away win trend. PEC Zwolle average 1.00 goals scored and 2.10 conceded in the recent sample, compared with AZ Alkmaar at 1.70 scored and 1.40 conceded. PEC Zwolle 1 wins, AZ Alkmaar 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 38% home, 30% draw and 32% away, making PEC Zwolle to Win the preferred tip at 38% confidence.

PEC Zwolle 1 wins, AZ Alkmaar 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.

Result check

Won

Actual result: 3-1 · Outcome: Home Win

PEC Zwolle vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction

PEC Zwolle to Win

Data-driven betting predictions

Why this prediction?

Reason for tip

Won

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