AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior Prediction
Eredivisie · Wed, Jan 21 - 20:45
Eredivisie
Lost
Excelsior
AZ Alkmaar to Win
Data-driven betting predictions
Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.
Why this prediction?
Reason for tip
AZ Alkmaar have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Excelsior have won 3 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives AZ Alkmaar a 60% home win trend and Excelsior a 30% away win trend. AZ Alkmaar average 1.70 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Excelsior at 1.70 scored and 1.50 conceded. AZ Alkmaar 1 wins, Excelsior 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 39% home, 24% draw and 36% away, making AZ Alkmaar to Win the preferred tip at 39% confidence.
AZ Alkmaar 1 wins, Excelsior 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.Lost
Actual result: 1-1 · Outcome: Draw