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Match predictions

NEC Nijmegen vs PEC Zwolle Prediction

Eredivisie · Sat, Jan 24 - 20:45

Eredivisie logo Eredivisie Won
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen logo
2-1
PEC Zwolle logo PEC Zwolle
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 20 Goffertstadion
153%Home X29%Draw 218%Away
Match Centre Confidence 53%
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Match forecast

NEC Nijmegen to Win

Won
Predicted score 2-1 Confidence: Low · 53% ★★★☆☆
NEC Nijmegen Win53%
Draw29%
PEC Zwolle Win18%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 3 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 70% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 2-1 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-1 · Won
Model Confidence Low 53% Final score: 2-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

NEC Nijmegen formW L D D D6 points from last five
PEC Zwolle formL L W L D4 points from last five
Home/Away strength40% / 4%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.80 - 1.00Average goals scored

Reason for tip

NEC Nijmegen have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while PEC Zwolle have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives NEC Nijmegen a 40% home win trend and PEC Zwolle a 4% away win trend. NEC Nijmegen average 1.80 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the recent sample, compared with PEC Zwolle at 1.00 scored and 2.10 conceded. NEC Nijmegen 1 wins, PEC Zwolle 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 53% home, 29% draw and 18% away, making NEC Nijmegen to Win the preferred tip at 53% confidence.

NEC Nijmegen 1 wins, PEC Zwolle 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 2-1 · Outcome: Home Win

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