AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction

Reason for tip

AZ Alkmaar have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while NEC Nijmegen have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives AZ Alkmaar a 60% home win trend and NEC Nijmegen a 50% away win trend. AZ Alkmaar average 1.70 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the recent sample, compared with NEC Nijmegen at 1.80 scored and 1.30 conceded. AZ Alkmaar 0 wins, NEC Nijmegen 2 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 37% home, 25% draw and 38% away, making NEC Nijmegen to Win the preferred tip at 38% confidence.