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Match predictions

Heracles vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction

Eredivisie · Sun, Feb 1 - 16:30

Eredivisie logo Eredivisie Lost
Heracles Heracles logo
2-1
Fortuna Sittard logo Fortuna Sittard
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 21 Asito Stadium
126%Home X41%Draw 233%Away
Match Centre Confidence 41%
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Match forecast

Draw

Lost
Predicted score 2-2 Confidence: Low · 41% ★★☆☆☆
Heracles Win26%
Draw41%
Fortuna Sittard Win33%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 3 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 60% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 2-2 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 41% Final score: 2-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Heracles formL L L L L0 points from last five
Fortuna Sittard formL W L L D4 points from last five
Home/Away strength10% / 30%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile0.40 - 1.30Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Heracles have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Fortuna Sittard have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Heracles a 10% home win trend and Fortuna Sittard a 30% away win trend. Heracles average 0.40 goals scored and 2.30 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Fortuna Sittard at 1.30 scored and 2.00 conceded. Heracles 1 wins, Fortuna Sittard 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 26% home, 41% draw and 33% away, making Draw the preferred tip at 41% confidence.

Heracles 1 wins, Fortuna Sittard 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 2-1 · Outcome: Home Win

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