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Match predictions

AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax Prediction

Eredivisie · Sun, Feb 8 - 16:30

Eredivisie logo Eredivisie Lost
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar logo
1-1
Ajax logo Ajax
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 22 AFAS Stadion
141%Home X25%Draw 234%Away
Match Centre Confidence 41%
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Match forecast

AZ Alkmaar to Win

Lost
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 41% ★★☆☆☆
AZ Alkmaar Win41%
Draw25%
Ajax Win34%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 75% probability Actual: 2 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score No 40% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 41% Final score: 1-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

AZ Alkmaar formD D D D D5 points from last five
Ajax formD W D L D6 points from last five
Home/Away strength60% / 40%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.70 - 1.60Average goals scored

Reason for tip

AZ Alkmaar have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Ajax have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives AZ Alkmaar a 60% home win trend and Ajax a 40% away win trend. AZ Alkmaar average 1.70 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Ajax at 1.60 scored and 0.70 conceded. AZ Alkmaar 1 wins, Ajax 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 41% home, 25% draw and 34% away, making AZ Alkmaar to Win the preferred tip at 41% confidence.

AZ Alkmaar 1 wins, Ajax 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 1-1 · Outcome: Draw

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