Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction
Eredivisie · Sat, Feb 14 - 20:45
Eredivisie
Lost
AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior to Win
Data-driven betting predictions
Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.
Why this prediction?
Reason for tip
Excelsior have won 3 of their last 5 recorded matches, while AZ Alkmaar have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Excelsior a 20% home win trend and AZ Alkmaar a 30% away win trend. Excelsior average 1.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the recent sample, compared with AZ Alkmaar at 1.70 scored and 1.40 conceded. Excelsior 0 wins, AZ Alkmaar 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 42% home, 26% draw and 32% away, making Excelsior to Win the preferred tip at 42% confidence.
Excelsior 0 wins, AZ Alkmaar 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.Lost
Actual result: 1-2 · Outcome: Away Win