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Match predictions

Ajax vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction

Eredivisie · Sat, Feb 14 - 22:00

Eredivisie logo Eredivisie Won
Ajax Ajax logo
4-1
Fortuna Sittard logo Fortuna Sittard
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 23 Kras Stadion
150%Home X26%Draw 224%Away
Match Centre Confidence 50%
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Match forecast

Ajax to Win

Won
Predicted score 2-1 Confidence: Low · 50% ★★★☆☆
Ajax Win50%
Draw26%
Fortuna Sittard Win24%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 5 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 60% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 2-1 Exact score prediction Actual: 4-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 50% Final score: 4-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Ajax formD W D L D6 points from last five
Fortuna Sittard formL W L L D4 points from last five
Home/Away strength40% / 30%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.60 - 1.30Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Ajax have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Fortuna Sittard have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Ajax a 40% home win trend and Fortuna Sittard a 30% away win trend. Ajax average 1.60 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Fortuna Sittard at 1.30 scored and 2.00 conceded. Ajax 2 wins, Fortuna Sittard 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 50% home, 26% draw and 24% away, making Ajax to Win the preferred tip at 50% confidence.

Ajax 2 wins, Fortuna Sittard 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 4-1 · Outcome: Home Win

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