Fortuna Sittard vs Excelsior Prediction

Reason for tip

Fortuna Sittard have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Excelsior have won 3 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Fortuna Sittard a 30% home win trend and Excelsior a 30% away win trend. Fortuna Sittard average 1.30 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Excelsior at 1.70 scored and 1.50 conceded. Fortuna Sittard 1 wins, Excelsior 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 30% home, 26% draw and 44% away, making Excelsior to Win the preferred tip at 44% confidence.