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Match predictions

PSV Eindhoven vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction

Eredivisie · Sat, Mar 14 - 20:45

Eredivisie logo Eredivisie Lost
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven logo
2-3
NEC Nijmegen logo NEC Nijmegen
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 27 Philips Stadion
151%Home X18%Draw 230%Away
Match Centre Confidence 51%
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Match forecast

PSV Eindhoven to Win

Lost
Predicted score 3-2 Confidence: Low · 51% ★★★☆☆
PSV Eindhoven Win51%
Draw18%
NEC Nijmegen Win30%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 5 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 78% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 3-2 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-3 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 51% Final score: 2-3
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

PSV Eindhoven formW W D W W13 points from last five
NEC Nijmegen formW L D D D6 points from last five
Home/Away strength70% / 50%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile3.10 - 1.80Average goals scored

Reason for tip

PSV Eindhoven have won 4 of their last 5 recorded matches, while NEC Nijmegen have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives PSV Eindhoven a 70% home win trend and NEC Nijmegen a 50% away win trend. PSV Eindhoven average 3.10 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the recent sample, compared with NEC Nijmegen at 1.80 scored and 1.30 conceded. PSV Eindhoven 1 wins, NEC Nijmegen 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 51% home, 18% draw and 30% away, making PSV Eindhoven to Win the preferred tip at 51% confidence.

PSV Eindhoven 1 wins, NEC Nijmegen 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 2-3 · Outcome: Away Win

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