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Match predictions

AZ Alkmaar vs Heracles Prediction

Eredivisie · Sun, Mar 15 - 16:30

Eredivisie logo Eredivisie Won
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar logo
4-0
Heracles logo Heracles
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 27 AFAS Stadion
163%Home X28%Draw 29%Away
Match Centre Confidence 63%
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Match forecast

AZ Alkmaar to Win

Won
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Medium · 63% ★★★★☆
AZ Alkmaar Win63%
Draw28%
Heracles Win9%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 4 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 40% probability Actual: No · Won
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 4-0 · Lost
Model Confidence Medium 63% Final score: 4-0
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

AZ Alkmaar formD D D D D5 points from last five
Heracles formL L L L L0 points from last five
Home/Away strength60% / 4%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.70 - 0.40Average goals scored

Reason for tip

AZ Alkmaar have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Heracles have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives AZ Alkmaar a 60% home win trend and Heracles a 4% away win trend. AZ Alkmaar average 1.70 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Heracles at 0.40 scored and 2.30 conceded. AZ Alkmaar 2 wins, Heracles 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 63% home, 28% draw and 9% away, making AZ Alkmaar to Win the preferred tip at 63% confidence.

AZ Alkmaar 2 wins, Heracles 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 4-0 · Outcome: Home Win

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