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Match predictions

Heracles vs Excelsior Prediction

Eredivisie · Fri, Mar 20 - 22:00

Eredivisie logo Eredivisie Lost
Heracles Heracles logo
1-1
Excelsior logo Excelsior
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 28 Asito Stadium
121%Home X29%Draw 249%Away
Match Centre Confidence 49%
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Match forecast

Excelsior to Win

Lost
Predicted score 1-2 Confidence: Low · 49% ★★☆☆☆
Heracles Win21%
Draw29%
Excelsior Win49%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 2 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score Yes 55% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 1-2 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 49% Final score: 1-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Heracles formL L L L L0 points from last five
Excelsior formW D W W D11 points from last five
Home/Away strength10% / 30%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile0.40 - 1.70Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Heracles have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Excelsior have won 3 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Heracles a 10% home win trend and Excelsior a 30% away win trend. Heracles average 0.40 goals scored and 2.30 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Excelsior at 1.70 scored and 1.50 conceded. Heracles 1 wins, Excelsior 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 21% home, 29% draw and 49% away, making Excelsior to Win the preferred tip at 49% confidence.

Heracles 1 wins, Excelsior 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 1-1 · Outcome: Draw

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