AZ Alkmaar vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction

Reason for tip

AZ Alkmaar have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Fortuna Sittard have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives AZ Alkmaar a 60% home win trend and Fortuna Sittard a 30% away win trend. AZ Alkmaar average 1.70 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Fortuna Sittard at 1.30 scored and 2.00 conceded. AZ Alkmaar 1 wins, Fortuna Sittard 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 46% home, 27% draw and 27% away, making AZ Alkmaar to Win the preferred tip at 46% confidence.