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Match predictions

Ajax vs Twente Prediction

Eredivisie · Sat, Apr 4 - 22:00

Eredivisie logo Eredivisie Lost
Ajax Ajax logo
1-2
Twente logo Twente
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 29 Kras Stadion
139%Home X24%Draw 237%Away
Match Centre Confidence 39%
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Match forecast

Ajax to Win

Lost
Predicted score 2-1 Confidence: Low · 39% ★★☆☆☆
Ajax Win39%
Draw24%
Twente Win37%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 3 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 55% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 2-1 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-2 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 39% Final score: 1-2
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Ajax formD W D L D6 points from last five
Twente formL W D D W8 points from last five
Home/Away strength40% / 40%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.60 - 2.00Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Ajax have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Twente have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Ajax a 40% home win trend and Twente a 40% away win trend. Ajax average 1.60 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Twente at 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Ajax 1 wins, Twente 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 39% home, 24% draw and 37% away, making Ajax to Win the preferred tip at 39% confidence.

Ajax 1 wins, Twente 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 1-2 · Outcome: Away Win

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