Excelsior vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction

Reason for tip

Excelsior have won 3 of their last 5 recorded matches, while NEC Nijmegen have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Excelsior a 20% home win trend and NEC Nijmegen a 50% away win trend. Excelsior average 1.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the recent sample, compared with NEC Nijmegen at 1.80 scored and 1.30 conceded. Excelsior 0 wins, NEC Nijmegen 2 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 38% home, 24% draw and 38% away, making Excelsior to Win the preferred tip at 38% confidence.