PEC Zwolle vs Excelsior Prediction

Reason for tip

PEC Zwolle have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Excelsior have won 3 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives PEC Zwolle a 50% home win trend and Excelsior a 30% away win trend. PEC Zwolle average 1.00 goals scored and 2.10 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Excelsior at 1.70 scored and 1.50 conceded. PEC Zwolle 0 wins, Excelsior 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 30% home, 26% draw and 44% away, making Excelsior to Win the preferred tip at 44% confidence.