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Match predictions

Heerenveen vs Fortuna Sittard Prediction

Eredivisie · Sat, Apr 25 - 19:45

Eredivisie logo Eredivisie Won
Heerenveen Heerenveen logo
2-1
Fortuna Sittard logo Fortuna Sittard
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 31 Abe Lenstra Stadion
148%Home X26%Draw 226%Away
Match Centre Confidence 48%
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Match forecast

Heerenveen to Win

Won
Predicted score 2-1 Confidence: Low · 48% ★★☆☆☆
Heerenveen Win48%
Draw26%
Fortuna Sittard Win26%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 3 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score Yes 65% probability Actual: Yes · Won
Correct Score 2-1 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-1 · Won
Model Confidence Low 48% Final score: 2-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Heerenveen formL D L W W7 points from last five
Fortuna Sittard formL W L L D4 points from last five
Home/Away strength50% / 30%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.70 - 1.30Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Heerenveen have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Fortuna Sittard have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Heerenveen a 50% home win trend and Fortuna Sittard a 30% away win trend. Heerenveen average 1.70 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Fortuna Sittard at 1.30 scored and 2.00 conceded. Heerenveen 1 wins, Fortuna Sittard 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 48% home, 26% draw and 26% away, making Heerenveen to Win the preferred tip at 48% confidence.

Heerenveen 1 wins, Fortuna Sittard 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 2-1 · Outcome: Home Win

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