Match predictions

Groningen vs Excelsior Prediction

Eredivisie · Sat, May 2 - 19:45

Eredivisie Won

Match Centre All Predictions

Groningen Groningen logo

2-3

Excelsior

FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 32 Euroborg

137%Home X24%Draw 239%Away

Match Centre Confidence 39%

Match forecast

Excelsior to Win

Won

Predicted score 2-3 Confidence: Low · 39% ★★☆☆☆

Groningen Win37%

Draw24%

Excelsior Win39%

Recommended markets

Data-driven betting predictions

Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.

Match Winner Excelsior to Win 39% model probability

Double Chance 12 76% model probability

Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 82% model probability

Both Teams To Score Yes 65% model probability

Correct Score 2-3 Model-derived tip

First Team To Score No clear edge Model-derived tip

Clean Sheet No strong clean sheet edge Model-derived tip

Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 5 goals · Won

Both Teams To Score Yes 65% probability Actual: Yes · Won

Correct Score 2-3 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-3 · Won

Model Confidence Low 39% Final score: 2-3

Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Groningen formL W W L L6 points from last five

Excelsior formW D W W D11 points from last five

Home/Away strength40% / 30%Venue trend in available data

Goals profile1.60 - 1.70Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Groningen have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Excelsior have won 3 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Groningen a 40% home win trend and Excelsior a 30% away win trend. Groningen average 1.60 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Excelsior at 1.70 scored and 1.50 conceded. Groningen 1 wins, Excelsior 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 37% home, 24% draw and 39% away, making Excelsior to Win the preferred tip at 39% confidence.

Groningen 1 wins, Excelsior 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.

Result check

Won

Actual result: 2-3 · Outcome: Away Win

Groningen vs Excelsior Prediction

Excelsior to Win

Data-driven betting predictions

Why this prediction?

Reason for tip

Won

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