Match predictions

Estrela vs Alverca Prediction

Primeira Liga · Mon, Aug 25 - 22:15

Primeira Liga Won

Match Centre All Predictions

Estrela Estrela logo

2-2

Alverca

FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 3 Estádio José Gomes

133%Home X38%Draw 229%Away

Match Centre Confidence 38%

Match forecast

Draw

Won

Predicted score 2-2 Confidence: Low · 38% ★★☆☆☆

Estrela Win33%

Draw38%

Alverca Win29%

Recommended markets

Data-driven betting predictions

Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.

Match Winner Draw 38% model probability

Double Chance 1X Model-derived tip

Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 82% model probability

Both Teams To Score Yes 55% model probability

Correct Score 2-2 Model-derived tip

First Team To Score No clear edge Model-derived tip

Clean Sheet No strong clean sheet edge Model-derived tip

Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 4 goals · Won

Both Teams To Score Yes 55% probability Actual: Yes · Won

Correct Score 2-2 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-2 · Won

Model Confidence Low 38% Final score: 2-2

Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Estrela formD D L L L2 points from last five

Alverca formL D L W L4 points from last five

Home/Away strength20% / 10%Venue trend in available data

Goals profile1.20 - 1.10Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Estrela have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Alverca have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives win trends of 20% for Estrela and 10% for Alverca. Estrela average 1.20 goals scored and 1.50 conceded, compared with Alverca at 1.10 scored and 1.30 conceded. Those signals make Draw the preferred model tip.

Estrela 0 wins, Alverca 0 wins, 2 draws in last 2 meetings.

Result check

Won

Actual result: 2-2 · Outcome: Draw

Estrela vs Alverca Prediction

Draw

Data-driven betting predictions

Why this prediction?

Reason for tip

Won

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