Match predictions

Guimaraes vs Nacional Prediction

Primeira Liga · Fri, Jan 2 - 23:45

Primeira Liga Won

Match Centre All Predictions

Guimaraes

Nacional

FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 17 Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

139%Home X27%Draw 234%Away

Match Centre Confidence 39%

Match forecast

Guimaraes to Win

Won

Predicted score 2-1 Confidence: Low · 39% ★★☆☆☆

Guimaraes Win39%

Draw27%

Nacional Win34%

Recommended markets

Data-driven betting predictions

Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.

Match Winner Guimaraes to Win 39% model probability

Double Chance 1X Model-derived tip

Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 71% model probability

Both Teams To Score No 25% model probability

Correct Score 2-1 Model-derived tip

First Team To Score No clear edge Model-derived tip

Clean Sheet No strong clean sheet edge Model-derived tip

Over 2.5 Goals Yes 71% probability Actual: 3 goals · Won

Both Teams To Score No 25% probability Actual: Yes · Lost

Correct Score 2-1 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-1 · Won

Model Confidence Low 39% Final score: 2-1

Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Guimaraes formL L L W W6 points from last five

Nacional formW L L W W9 points from last five

Home/Away strength50% / 10%Venue trend in available data

Goals profile1.10 - 0.90Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Guimaraes have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Nacional have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives win trends of 50% for Guimaraes and 10% for Nacional. Guimaraes average 1.10 goals scored and 1.60 conceded, compared with Nacional at 0.90 scored and 0.90 conceded. Those signals make Guimaraes to Win the preferred model tip.

Guimaraes 1 wins, Nacional 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.

Result check

Won

Actual result: 2-1 · Outcome: Home Win

Guimaraes vs Nacional Prediction

Guimaraes to Win

Data-driven betting predictions

Why this prediction?

Reason for tip

Won

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