Match predictions

Tondela vs Arouca Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sat, Jan 3 - 18:30

Primeira Liga Lost

Match Centre All Predictions

Tondela Tondela logo

3-1

Arouca

FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 17 Estádio João Cardoso

132%Home X26%Draw 243%Away

Match Centre Confidence 43%

Match forecast

Arouca to Win

Lost

Predicted score 0-3 Confidence: Low · 43% ★★☆☆☆

Tondela Win32%

Draw26%

Arouca Win43%

Recommended markets

Data-driven betting predictions

Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.

Match Winner Arouca to Win 43% model probability

Double Chance 1X Model-derived tip

Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 82% model probability

Both Teams To Score No 55% model probability

Correct Score 0-3 Model-derived tip

First Team To Score No clear edge Model-derived tip

Clean Sheet No strong clean sheet edge Model-derived tip

Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 4 goals · Won

Both Teams To Score No 45% probability Actual: Yes · Lost

Correct Score 0-3 Exact score prediction Actual: 3-1 · Lost

Model Confidence Low 43% Final score: 3-1

Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Tondela formL W W D L7 points from last five

Arouca formW W D L W10 points from last five

Home/Away strength20% / 40%Venue trend in available data

Goals profile0.80 - 1.50Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Tondela have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Arouca have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives win trends of 20% for Tondela and 40% for Arouca. Tondela average 0.80 goals scored and 1.70 conceded, compared with Arouca at 1.50 scored and 1.20 conceded. Those signals make Arouca to Win the preferred model tip.

Tondela 1 wins, Arouca 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.

Result check

Lost

Actual result: 3-1 · Outcome: Home Win

Tondela vs Arouca Prediction

Arouca to Win

Data-driven betting predictions

Why this prediction?

Reason for tip

Lost

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