Match predictions

Alverca vs Moreirense Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sat, Jan 17 - 21:00

Primeira Liga Won

Match Centre All Predictions

Alverca Alverca logo

2-1

Moreirense

FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 18 FC Alverca Sports Complex

138%Home X31%Draw 231%Away

Match Centre Confidence 38%

Match forecast

Alverca to Win

Won

Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 38% ★★☆☆☆

Alverca Win38%

Draw31%

Moreirense Win31%

Recommended markets

Data-driven betting predictions

Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.

Match Winner Alverca to Win 38% model probability

Double Chance 1X Model-derived tip

Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 77% model probability

Both Teams To Score No 50% model probability

Correct Score 3-0 Model-derived tip

First Team To Score No clear edge Model-derived tip

Clean Sheet No strong clean sheet edge Model-derived tip

Over 2.5 Goals Yes 77% probability Actual: 3 goals · Won

Both Teams To Score No 50% probability Actual: Yes · Lost

Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-1 · Lost

Model Confidence Low 38% Final score: 2-1

Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Alverca formL D L W L4 points from last five

Moreirense formD L W L W7 points from last five

Home/Away strength40% / 20%Venue trend in available data

Goals profile1.10 - 0.70Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Alverca have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Moreirense have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives win trends of 40% for Alverca and 20% for Moreirense. Alverca average 1.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded, compared with Moreirense at 0.70 scored and 1.50 conceded. Those signals make Alverca to Win the preferred model tip.

Alverca 1 wins, Moreirense 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.

Result check

Won

Actual result: 2-1 · Outcome: Home Win

Alverca vs Moreirense Prediction

Alverca to Win

Data-driven betting predictions

Why this prediction?

Reason for tip

Won

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