Match predictions

Arouca vs Guimaraes Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sat, Feb 7 - 23:30

Primeira Liga Won

Match Centre All Predictions

Arouca Arouca logo

3-2

Guimaraes

FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 21 Estádio Municipal de Arouca

155%Home X22%Draw 222%Away

Match Centre Confidence 55%

Match forecast

Arouca to Win

Won

Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Medium · 55% ★★★☆☆

Arouca Win55%

Draw22%

Guimaraes Win22%

Recommended markets

Data-driven betting predictions

Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.

Match Winner Arouca to Win 55% model probability

Double Chance 1X Model-derived tip

Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 82% model probability

Both Teams To Score No 55% model probability

Correct Score 3-0 Model-derived tip

First Team To Score No clear edge Model-derived tip

Clean Sheet No strong clean sheet edge Model-derived tip

Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 5 goals · Won

Both Teams To Score No 45% probability Actual: Yes · Lost

Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 3-2 · Lost

Model Confidence Medium 55% Final score: 3-2

Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Arouca formW W D L W10 points from last five

Guimaraes formL L L W W6 points from last five

Home/Away strength60% / 10%Venue trend in available data

Goals profile1.50 - 1.10Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Arouca have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Guimaraes have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives win trends of 60% for Arouca and 10% for Guimaraes. Arouca average 1.50 goals scored and 1.20 conceded, compared with Guimaraes at 1.10 scored and 1.60 conceded. Those signals make Arouca to Win the preferred model tip.

Arouca 1 wins, Guimaraes 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.

Result check

Won

Actual result: 3-2 · Outcome: Home Win

Arouca vs Guimaraes Prediction

Arouca to Win

Data-driven betting predictions

Why this prediction?

Reason for tip

Won

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