Match predictions

Casa Pia vs Arouca Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sat, Feb 14 - 18:30

Primeira Liga Won

Match Centre All Predictions

Casa Pia Casa Pia logo

3-2

Arouca

FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 22 Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior

139%Home X24%Draw 237%Away

Match Centre Confidence 39%

Match forecast

Casa Pia to Win

Won

Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 39% ★★☆☆☆

Casa Pia Win39%

Draw24%

Arouca Win37%

Recommended markets

Data-driven betting predictions

Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.

Match Winner Casa Pia to Win 39% model probability

Double Chance 1X Model-derived tip

Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 79% model probability

Both Teams To Score No 50% model probability

Correct Score 3-0 Model-derived tip

First Team To Score No clear edge Model-derived tip

Clean Sheet No strong clean sheet edge Model-derived tip

Over 2.5 Goals Yes 79% probability Actual: 5 goals · Won

Both Teams To Score No 50% probability Actual: Yes · Lost

Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 3-2 · Lost

Model Confidence Low 39% Final score: 3-2

Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Casa Pia formW D D W L8 points from last five

Arouca formW W D L W10 points from last five

Home/Away strength30% / 40%Venue trend in available data

Goals profile0.70 - 1.50Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Casa Pia have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Arouca have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives win trends of 30% for Casa Pia and 40% for Arouca. Casa Pia average 0.70 goals scored and 0.90 conceded, compared with Arouca at 1.50 scored and 1.20 conceded. Those signals make Casa Pia to Win the preferred model tip.

Casa Pia 2 wins, Arouca 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.

Result check

Won

Actual result: 3-2 · Outcome: Home Win

Casa Pia vs Arouca Prediction

Casa Pia to Win

Data-driven betting predictions

Why this prediction?

Reason for tip

Won

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