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Match predictions

Moreirense vs Arouca Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sat, Mar 21 - 18:30

Primeira Liga logo Primeira Liga Won
Moreirense Moreirense logo
0-1
Arouca logo Arouca
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 27 Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
134%Home X25%Draw 241%Away
Match Centre Confidence 41%
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Match forecast

Arouca to Win

Won
Predicted score 0-3 Confidence: Low · 41% ★★☆☆☆
Moreirense Win34%
Draw25%
Arouca Win41%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 65% probability Actual: 1 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score No 50% probability Actual: No · Won
Correct Score 0-3 Exact score prediction Actual: 0-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 41% Final score: 0-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Moreirense formD L W L W7 points from last five
Arouca formW W D L W10 points from last five
Home/Away strength40% / 40%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile0.70 - 1.50Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Moreirense have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Arouca have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives win trends of 40% for Moreirense and 40% for Arouca. Moreirense average 0.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded, compared with Arouca at 1.50 scored and 1.20 conceded. Those signals make Arouca to Win the preferred model tip.

Moreirense 1 wins, Arouca 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 0-1 · Outcome: Away Win

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