Match predictions

Alverca vs Casa Pia Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sun, Apr 12 - 17:30

Primeira Liga Won

Match Centre All Predictions

Alverca Alverca logo

3-1

Casa Pia

FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 29 FC Alverca Sports Complex

141%Home X29%Draw 230%Away

Match Centre Confidence 41%

Match forecast

Alverca to Win

Won

Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 41% ★★☆☆☆

Alverca Win41%

Draw29%

Casa Pia Win30%

Recommended markets

Data-driven betting predictions

Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.

Match Winner Alverca to Win 41% model probability

Double Chance 1X Model-derived tip

Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 71% model probability

Both Teams To Score No 50% model probability

Correct Score 3-0 Model-derived tip

First Team To Score No clear edge Model-derived tip

Clean Sheet No strong clean sheet edge Model-derived tip

Over 2.5 Goals Yes 71% probability Actual: 4 goals · Won

Both Teams To Score No 50% probability Actual: Yes · Lost

Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 3-1 · Lost

Model Confidence Low 41% Final score: 3-1

Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Alverca formL D L W L4 points from last five

Casa Pia formW D D W L8 points from last five

Home/Away strength40% / 10%Venue trend in available data

Goals profile1.10 - 0.70Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Alverca have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Casa Pia have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives win trends of 40% for Alverca and 10% for Casa Pia. Alverca average 1.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded, compared with Casa Pia at 0.70 scored and 0.90 conceded. Those signals make Alverca to Win the preferred model tip.

Alverca 2 wins, Casa Pia 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.

Result check

Won

Actual result: 3-1 · Outcome: Home Win

Alverca vs Casa Pia Prediction

Alverca to Win

Data-driven betting predictions

Why this prediction?

Reason for tip

Won

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