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Match predictions

Nacional vs Alverca Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sat, Apr 18 - 17:30

Primeira Liga logo Primeira Liga Won
Nacional Nacional logo
1-0
Alverca logo Alverca
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 30 Estádio da Madeira
150%Home X26%Draw 224%Away
Match Centre Confidence 50%
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Match forecast

Nacional to Win

Won
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 50% ★★☆☆☆
Nacional Win50%
Draw26%
Alverca Win24%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 53% probability Actual: 1 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score No 40% probability Actual: No · Won
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-0 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 50% Final score: 1-0
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Nacional formW L L W W9 points from last five
Alverca formL D L W L4 points from last five
Home/Away strength40% / 10%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile0.90 - 1.10Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Nacional have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Alverca have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives win trends of 40% for Nacional and 10% for Alverca. Nacional average 0.90 goals scored and 0.90 conceded, compared with Alverca at 1.10 scored and 1.30 conceded. Those signals make Nacional to Win the preferred model tip.

Nacional 1 wins, Alverca 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 1-0 · Outcome: Home Win

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