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Match predictions

Arouca vs Estrela Prediction

Primeira Liga · Sun, Apr 19 - 17:30

Primeira Liga logo Primeira Liga Won
Arouca Arouca logo
1-0
Estrela logo Estrela
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 30 Estádio Municipal de Arouca
158%Home X23%Draw 219%Away
Match Centre Confidence 58%
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Match forecast

Arouca to Win

Won
Predicted score 2-1 Confidence: Medium · 58% ★★★☆☆
Arouca Win58%
Draw23%
Estrela Win19%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 80% probability Actual: 1 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score Yes 55% probability Actual: No · Lost
Correct Score 2-1 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-0 · Lost
Model Confidence Medium 58% Final score: 1-0
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Arouca formW W D L W10 points from last five
Estrela formD D L L L2 points from last five
Home/Away strength60% / 10%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.50 - 1.20Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Arouca have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Estrela have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives win trends of 60% for Arouca and 10% for Estrela. Arouca average 1.50 goals scored and 1.20 conceded, compared with Estrela at 1.20 scored and 1.50 conceded. Those signals make Arouca to Win the preferred model tip.

Arouca 1 wins, Estrela 1 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 1-0 · Outcome: Home Win

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