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Match predictions

Nigeria vs Congo DR Prediction

World Cup Qualifiers Africa · Sun, Nov 16 - 22:00

World Cup Qualifiers Africa logo World Cup Qualifiers Africa Lost
Nigeria Nigeria logo
1-1
Congo DR logo Congo DR
AFTER PENALTIES FINAL Stade Prince Moulay Hassan
151%Home X20%Draw 229%Away
Match Centre Confidence 51%
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Match forecast

Nigeria to Win

Lost
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 51% ★★★☆☆
Nigeria Win51%
Draw20%
Congo DR Win29%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 69% probability Actual: 2 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score No 50% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 51% Final score: 1-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Nigeria formD D W W W11 points from last five
Congo DR formL W L D L4 points from last five
Home/Away strength75% / 40%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile2.20 - 1.20Average goals scored
Table position4 / 215 pts vs 16 pts
Player form7.14 / 7.30Average top-player rating

Reason for tip

Nigeria have won 3 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Congo DR have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Nigeria a 75% home win trend and Congo DR a 40% away win trend. Nigeria average 2.20 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Congo DR at 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Nigeria 0 wins, Congo DR 0 wins, 1 draws in last 1 meetings. The table context has Nigeria in position 4, 15 points, 8 matches played, while Congo DR in position 2, 16 points, 8 matches played. Player-form data gives Nigeria an average top-player rating of 7.14 with 9 latest goal involvements, compared with Congo DR at 7.30 rating and 1 goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 51% home, 20% draw and 29% away, making Nigeria to Win the preferred tip at 51% confidence.

Nigeria 0 wins, Congo DR 0 wins, 1 draws in last 1 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 1-1 · Outcome: Draw

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