Brentford vs Aston Villa Prediction
Carabao Cup · Tue, Sep 16 - 22:00
Updated Sat, Jul 25, 2026 00:00 EAT
Carabao Cup
Lost
Aston Villa
Brentford vs Aston Villa key facts
Brentford have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Aston Villa have won 4 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Brentford a 20% home win trend and Aston Villa a 40% away win trend. Brentford average 1.30 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Aston Villa at 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Brentford 2 wins, Aston Villa 0 wins, 1 draws in last 3 meetings. The table context has Brentford in position 9, 53 points, 38 matches played, while Aston Villa in position 4, 65 points, 38 matches played. Player-form data gives Brentford an average top-player rating of 7.00 with 68 latest goal involvements, compared with Aston Villa at 7.11 rating and 12 goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 34% home, 23% draw and 43% away, making Aston Villa to Win the preferred tip at 43% confidence.
Aston Villa to Win
Data-driven betting predictions
Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.
Why this prediction?
Reason for tip
Brentford have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Aston Villa have won 4 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Brentford a 20% home win trend and Aston Villa a 40% away win trend. Brentford average 1.30 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Aston Villa at 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Brentford 2 wins, Aston Villa 0 wins, 1 draws in last 3 meetings. The table context has Brentford in position 9, 53 points, 38 matches played, while Aston Villa in position 4, 65 points, 38 matches played. Player-form data gives Brentford an average top-player rating of 7.00 with 68 latest goal involvements, compared with Aston Villa at 7.11 rating and 12 goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 34% home, 23% draw and 43% away, making Aston Villa to Win the preferred tip at 43% confidence.
Brentford 2 wins, Aston Villa 0 wins, 1 draws in last 3 meetings.Lost
Actual result: 1-1 · Outcome: Draw
Brentford vs Aston Villa questions
What is the Brentford vs Aston Villa prediction?
The Kisure Sports model favours Aston Villa to Win with a predicted score of 1-2 and 43% confidence.
What are the win probabilities?
Brentford are rated at 34%, the draw at 23%, and Aston Villa at 43%.
What data is used for this forecast?
The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.