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Match predictions

USM Alger vs San-Pédro Prediction

CAF Confederation Cup · Sun, Nov 23 - 22:00

CAF Confederation Cup logo CAF Confederation Cup Won
USM Alger USM Alger logo
3-2
San-Pédro logo San-Pédro
FULL-TIME CAF CONFEDERATION CUP - 1 Stade du 5 Juillet
155%Home X21%Draw 224%Away
Match Centre Confidence 55%
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Match forecast

USM Alger to Win

Won
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Medium · 55% ★★★☆☆
USM Alger Win55%
Draw21%
San-Pédro Win24%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 5 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 45% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 3-2 · Lost
Model Confidence Medium 55% Final score: 3-2
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

USM Alger formL W D D W8 points from last five
San-Pédro formL L L L W3 points from last five
Home/Away strength71% / 40%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile0.90 - 1.50Average goals scored
Table position1 / 414 pts vs 3 pts
Player form7.54 / 7.38Average top-player rating

Reason for tip

USM Alger have won 2 of their last 5 recorded matches, while San-Pédro have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives USM Alger a 71% home win trend and San-Pédro a 40% away win trend. USM Alger average 0.90 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the recent sample, compared with San-Pédro at 1.50 scored and 1.70 conceded. USM Alger 2 wins, San-Pédro 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The table context has USM Alger in position 1, 14 points, 6 matches played, while San-Pédro in position 4, 3 points, 6 matches played. Player-form data gives USM Alger an average top-player rating of 7.54 with 18 latest goal involvements, compared with San-Pédro at 7.38 rating and 4 goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 55% home, 21% draw and 24% away, making USM Alger to Win the preferred tip at 55% confidence.

USM Alger 2 wins, San-Pédro 0 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 3-2 · Outcome: Home Win

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