Mbarara City vs Calvary Prediction

Prediction summary

Mbarara City vs Calvary key facts

Primary tipMbarara City to Win

Predicted score2-0

Kick-offThu, Feb 12 - 16:00

Confidence49%

Retrospective forecast archive This forecast cannot be verified as published before kick-off, so it is excluded from search indexes and prediction sitemaps.

Mbarara City have won 1 of their last 2 recorded matches, while Calvary have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Mbarara City a 90% home win trend and Calvary a 4% away win trend. Mbarara City average 1.00 goals scored and 0.50 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Calvary at 0.70 scored and 0.40 conceded. Mbarara City 1 wins, Calvary 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 49% home, 23% draw and 28% away, making Mbarara City to Win the preferred tip at 49% confidence.

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Match forecast

Mbarara City to Win

Won

Predicted score 2-0 Confidence: Low · 49% ★★☆☆☆

Mbarara City Win49%

Draw23%

Calvary Win28%

Recommended markets

Data-driven betting predictions

Each market is produced from stored fixture probabilities, recent form, goals profile and head-to-head data. Result settlement is based on 90 minutes only.

Match Winner Mbarara City to Win 49% model probability

Double Chance 12 77% model probability

Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 59% model probability

Both Teams To Score No 68% model probability

Correct Score 2-0 Model-derived tip

First Team To Score Mbarara City Model-derived tip

Clean Sheet Mbarara City clean sheet possible Model-derived tip

Over 2.5 Goals No 41% probability Actual: 1 goals · Won

Both Teams To Score No 33% probability Actual: No · Won

Correct Score 2-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 1-0 · Lost

Model Confidence Low 49% Final score: 1-0

Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Mbarara City formW D4 points from last five

Calvary formW D D W L8 points from last five

Home/Away strength90% / 4%Venue trend in available data

Goals profile1.00 - 0.70Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Mbarara City have won 1 of their last 2 recorded matches, while Calvary have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Mbarara City a 90% home win trend and Calvary a 4% away win trend. Mbarara City average 1.00 goals scored and 0.50 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Calvary at 0.70 scored and 0.40 conceded. Mbarara City 1 wins, Calvary 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 49% home, 23% draw and 28% away, making Mbarara City to Win the preferred tip at 49% confidence.

Mbarara City 1 wins, Calvary 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.

Result check

Won

Actual result: 1-0 · Outcome: Home Win

Prediction guide

Mbarara City vs Calvary questions

What is the Mbarara City vs Calvary prediction?

The Kisure Sports model favours Mbarara City to Win with a predicted score of 2-0 and 49% confidence.

What are the win probabilities?

Mbarara City are rated at 49%, the draw at 23%, and Calvary at 28%.

What data is used for this forecast?

The forecast uses saved recent form, home and away performance, goals scored and conceded, head-to-head results, standings context and available player-form data. Predictions are informational and do not guarantee an outcome.