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Match predictions

Congo DR vs Senegal Prediction

World Cup Qualifiers Africa · Tue, Sep 9 - 19:00

World Cup Qualifiers Africa logo World Cup Qualifiers Africa Won
Congo DR Congo DR logo
2-3
Senegal logo Senegal
FULL-TIME GROUP STAGE - 8 Stade des Martyrs
137%Home X23%Draw 240%Away
Match Centre Confidence 40%
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Match forecast

Senegal to Win

Won
Predicted score 0-3 Confidence: Low · 40% ★★☆☆☆
Congo DR Win37%
Draw23%
Senegal Win40%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 5 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 50% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 0-3 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-3 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 40% Final score: 2-3
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Congo DR formL W L D L4 points from last five
Senegal formL W L L W6 points from last five
Home/Away strength75% / 57%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.20 - 2.00Average goals scored
Table position2 / 116 pts vs 24 pts
Player form7.30 / 7.38Average top-player rating

Reason for tip

Congo DR have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Senegal have won 2 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Congo DR a 75% home win trend and Senegal a 57% away win trend. Congo DR average 1.20 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Senegal at 2.00 scored and 1.10 conceded. Congo DR 0 wins, Senegal 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The table context has Congo DR in position 2, 16 points, 8 matches played, while Senegal in position 1, 24 points, 10 matches played. Player-form data gives Congo DR an average top-player rating of 7.30 with 1 latest goal involvements, compared with Senegal at 7.38 rating and 2 goal involvements. The model converts those form, venue, goals, head-to-head, standings and player-form signals into 1X2 probabilities of 37% home, 23% draw and 40% away, making Senegal to Win the preferred tip at 40% confidence.

Congo DR 0 wins, Senegal 1 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 2-3 · Outcome: Away Win

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