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Match predictions

Ngozi City vs Garage Express Prediction

Burundi Ligue A · Wed, Mar 11 - 16:00

Burundi Ligue A logo Burundi Ligue A Won
Ngozi City Ngozi City logo
5-1
Garage Express logo Garage Express
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 25
151%Home X33%Draw 216%Away
Match Centre Confidence 51%
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Match forecast

Ngozi City to Win

Won
Predicted score 3-0 Confidence: Low · 51% ★★★☆☆
Ngozi City Win51%
Draw33%
Garage Express Win16%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 6 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 50% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 3-0 Exact score prediction Actual: 5-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 51% Final score: 5-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Ngozi City formL L L W D4 points from last five
Garage Express formL L L L W3 points from last five
Home/Away strength40% / 4%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.80 - 0.50Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Ngozi City have won 1 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Garage Express have won 1 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Ngozi City a 40% home win trend and Garage Express a 4% away win trend. Ngozi City average 1.80 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Garage Express at 0.50 scored and 2.60 conceded. Ngozi City 1 wins, Garage Express 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 51% home, 33% draw and 16% away, making Ngozi City to Win the preferred tip at 51% confidence.

Ngozi City 1 wins, Garage Express 0 wins, 1 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 5-1 · Outcome: Home Win

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