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Match predictions

Le Messager Ngozi vs Royal Vision Prediction

Burundi Ligue A · Sun, Apr 12 - 16:00

Burundi Ligue A logo Burundi Ligue A Won
Le Messager Ngozi Le Messager Ngozi logo
0-1
Royal Vision logo Royal Vision
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 28
134%Home X21%Draw 245%Away
Match Centre Confidence 45%
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Match forecast

Royal Vision to Win

Won
Predicted score 0-3 Confidence: Low · 45% ★★☆☆☆
Le Messager Ngozi Win34%
Draw21%
Royal Vision Win45%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 71% probability Actual: 1 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score No 30% probability Actual: No · Won
Correct Score 0-3 Exact score prediction Actual: 0-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 45% Final score: 0-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Le Messager Ngozi formW W L D W10 points from last five
Royal Vision formL W W W W12 points from last five
Home/Away strength20% / 40%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.40 - 1.60Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Le Messager Ngozi have won 3 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Royal Vision have won 4 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Le Messager Ngozi a 20% home win trend and Royal Vision a 40% away win trend. Le Messager Ngozi average 1.40 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Royal Vision at 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Le Messager Ngozi 0 wins, Royal Vision 2 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 34% home, 21% draw and 45% away, making Royal Vision to Win the preferred tip at 45% confidence.

Le Messager Ngozi 0 wins, Royal Vision 2 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 0-1 · Outcome: Away Win

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