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Match predictions

Ngozi City vs Musongati Prediction

Burundi Ligue A · Sun, Apr 26 - 16:30

Burundi Ligue A logo Burundi Ligue A Won
Ngozi City Ngozi City logo
2-4
Musongati logo Musongati
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 29
113%Home X23%Draw 264%Away
Match Centre Confidence 64%
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Match forecast

Musongati to Win

Won
Predicted score 0-3 Confidence: Medium · 64% ★★★★☆
Ngozi City Win13%
Draw23%
Musongati Win64%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 82% probability Actual: 6 goals · Won
Both Teams To Score No 33% probability Actual: Yes · Lost
Correct Score 0-3 Exact score prediction Actual: 2-4 · Lost
Model Confidence Medium 64% Final score: 2-4
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Ngozi City formL L0 points from last five
Musongati formW W W L L9 points from last five
Home/Away strength4% / 70%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile1.00 - 1.30Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Ngozi City have won 0 of their last 2 recorded matches, while Musongati have won 3 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Ngozi City a 4% home win trend and Musongati a 70% away win trend. Ngozi City average 1.00 goals scored and 2.50 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Musongati at 1.30 scored and 0.50 conceded. Ngozi City 0 wins, Musongati 2 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 13% home, 23% draw and 64% away, making Musongati to Win the preferred tip at 64% confidence.

Ngozi City 0 wins, Musongati 2 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Won

Actual result: 2-4 · Outcome: Away Win

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