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Match predictions

Sofapaka vs Homeboyz Prediction

Sportpesa League · Fri, Oct 3 - 13:00

Sportpesa League logo Sportpesa League Lost
Sofapaka Sofapaka logo
0-1
Homeboyz logo Homeboyz
FULL-TIME MATCHDAY 4
121%Home X42%Draw 237%Away
Match Centre Confidence 42%
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Match forecast

Draw

Lost
Predicted score 2-2 Confidence: Low · 42% ★★☆☆☆
Sofapaka Win21%
Draw42%
Homeboyz Win37%
Over 2.5 Goals Yes 59% probability Actual: 1 goals · Lost
Both Teams To Score Yes 40% probability Actual: No · Lost
Correct Score 2-2 Exact score prediction Actual: 0-1 · Lost
Model Confidence Low 42% Final score: 0-1
Form analysis

Why this prediction?

Sofapaka formL L D L D2 points from last five
Homeboyz formD D L L L2 points from last five
Home/Away strength4% / 20%Venue trend in available data
Goals profile0.40 - 1.00Average goals scored

Reason for tip

Sofapaka have won 0 of their last 5 recorded matches, while Homeboyz have won 0 of their last 5. The available home/away sample gives Sofapaka a 4% home win trend and Homeboyz a 20% away win trend. Sofapaka average 0.40 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the recent sample, compared with Homeboyz at 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Sofapaka 0 wins, Homeboyz 2 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings. The model converts those form, venue, goals and head-to-head signals into 1X2 probabilities of 21% home, 42% draw and 37% away, making Draw the preferred tip at 42% confidence.

Sofapaka 0 wins, Homeboyz 2 wins, 0 draws in last 2 meetings.
Result check

Lost

Actual result: 0-1 · Outcome: Away Win

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